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GENERAL2x or 3x Futures
The Sentinel
Updated July 23, 2026 · v2.00 — leverage tier (2x/3x) is now a script setting, not a separate strategy; merged the former Kraken listing; republished and TV-verified
“I see what others cannot. The higher ground reveals the truth.”
The watchtower of the roster. The Sentinel reads two higher-timeframe trend filters before making a single move — only when both confirm a bull regime does she start hunting 7-day breakouts on the 2H field. She strikes, rides the trend with a trailing guard that never retreats, and the moment the regime darkens she leaves the battlefield entirely. The bear years 2018, 2022 and 2026 saw her take zero trades while BTC lost 27–65%. Leverage is your choice, not a different product: run her at 2x for the validated default, or 3x for the violent version — identical signals either way.
Leveraged strategy
This strategy was designed and backtested at 2x or 3x Futures. Set your exchange leverage to match — using a different level will produce different results than shown. The stats and spider chart below reflect the 2x default — see the description for the 3x figures.
Backtested · Jan 2023 – Aug 2026 (unseen walk-forward validation, 2x) · hypothetical, not live results
Why TradingView shows a bigger number than this page. The report attached to the script on TradingView covers the full history back to 2018 and is considerably larger. We do not lead with it, because the parameters were chosen on 2018–2022 data — quoting that period would be marking our own homework. The figures above are the untouched Jan 2023 – Aug 2026 window, tested once. Both are backtests; only one of them is evidence.
Win Rate
45%
PnL (backtest total)
+239%
Trades (backtest total)
55
Max Drawdown
29%
Risk:Reward
1.17:1
Timeframe
2-Hour
Fighting Style
Disciplined bull-regime breakout striker. Enters only on fresh multi-day momentum strength inside a confirmed bull regime — never chases, never catches a falling knife. Rides winners with an adaptive trailing stop that only ratchets in her favor. Goes fully flat — automatically — the moment the regime flips off bull. Leverage (2x/3x) is a script setting, not a separate strategy.
BTC/USDT breakout strategy on the 2H chart, long/flat, leverage tier (2x or 3x) chosen in the script's inputs. Enters on fresh momentum strength, but only inside a confirmed long-term bull regime. Exits via an adaptive ratcheting trail, or goes flat the moment the regime flips. Walk-forward validated: parameters frozen on 2018–2022 data, then tested once on untouched 2023–2026 — +231% at 2x (max drawdown −33%) or +345% at 3x (max drawdown −47%), ~14 trades/yr, avg hold ~5 days either way. Full backtested history 2018–2026 (TradingView verified, republished script): +4,021% at 2x (max drawdown −42%, 116 trades, PF 1.61), +10,801% at 3x (max drawdown −58%, PF 1.45). Bear markets are sat out entirely by design. Signals fire on confirmed bar close. No repainting. Hard timeframe guard blocks entries on any chart except 2H.
Strengths
- + +231% on unseen 2023–2026 validation at 2x, +345% at 3x
- + Walk-forward validated — fitted 2018–2022, tested untouched on 2023+
- + Sat out the 2018, 2022 and 2026 bears at ~0%
- + In the market only ~20% of the time — capital rests between storms
Weaknesses
- - 96% of the total backtested profit came from outlier trades, and 44% from one single trade — strip the best trade and the result roughly halves. That is how trend-following works, not a defect, but it means the record rests on a handful of moves
- - 44% win rate — losses outnumber wins
- - −33% max drawdown in the validation window at 2x (−47% at 3x); full history −42%/−58%
- - Only ~14 trades/yr — patience required
- - A few big winners carry the results; miss a leg, underperform
Strategy Rules
Entry Conditions
- Confirmed bull-regime filter — two independent long-term trend checks (daily and weekly), computed from completed bars only (no repainting)
- Fresh multi-day momentum breakout on the 2H chart — enters only on new strength, never on a dip
- Long only, one position at a time — no shorts, ever
Exit Conditions
- Adaptive trailing stop that locks in gains as price extends — ratchets only, never gives back an inch
- Force-flat at next open if the regime flips off bull
- Hard timeframe guard — entries blocked on any chart except 2H
When & How to Use
You don't time The Sentinel — her regime gate does it for you. In a confirmed bull regime she hunts breakouts (~14 trades/yr, avg hold ~5 days); in bear or neutral regimes she holds cash and takes zero trades, which is capital protection, not a malfunction. Pick your leverage tier in the script's Inputs: 2x for the validated default and survivable drawdowns, 3x for the identical signals at a more violent ride if you accept −47%+ swings.
Pairs Well With
Slow core holder — different cadence, stacks the bull without overlapping signals
1H striker — different timeframe and exit mechanic, uncorrelated cadence
The only bear-active strategy — covers Sentinel's flat stretches
One plan includes every strategy — The Sentinel plus any partner above, covering different cadences with no signal overlap. See plans →
Backtest Results
Jan 2023 – Aug 2026 (unseen walk-forward validation, 2x)BTC/USDT55 trades
Context: Backtest period: Jan 2023 – Aug 2026 (unseen walk-forward validation, 2x). Results reflect the market conditions of that period and may differ in different regimes. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and only trade with capital you can afford to lose.
2x default preset — Jan 2023 – Aug 2026, unseen walk-forward window · TradingView Deep Backtest · $10K start. Matches the statistics above.
3x aggressive tier — Jan 2023 – Aug 2026, unseen walk-forward window · TradingView Deep Backtest · $10K start. Same signals, larger positions.
All backtests include exchange commission and slippage on every trade — validated strategies model 0.06% taker fee + slippage per side.
Get The Sentinel on TradingView
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Source code is protected — the strategy logic stays secret. You get the signals, not the recipe.
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